How To Bet On Premier League Football And Win (2018/2019)
Premier League betting guide 18/19: previews, stats, strategies, predictions, odds to win, top four, top goalscorer, relegation battle & more
The Premier League is the most famous football league on the planet, and the richest… Hence why there are so many betting opportunities up for grabs at a very good price! Our English top flight betting guide will cover the essential bits you need to know in order to win your bets, but let’s start by featuring the most significant change that took place this summer: The 2018 summer transfer window will close on the 10th of August – one day before the new season kicks off, – after Premier League teams voted this last season. The new deadline will allow clubs to better focus on their football once the season starts, so Transfer Deadline Day takes place 3 weeks earlier than usual…
Here are some thought-provoking facts about the preceding Premier League seasons…
Did you know that 45% of the Premier League matches played during the past 5 seasons (2013-2018) ended up with the home team winning? 30% of the matches were won by the visiting teams and just 24% ended up with a tie during the same period.
Believe it or not, both teams managed to score in 50% of the English Premier League matches played during the precedent 5 seasons. The Over 2.5 goals bet could have been won on 52% of the occasions in that same interval, where the average goal per match ratio was 2.7 and no less than 58% of the goals were netted in the second half.
Just in case you were wondering, the most common scores recorded in-between the 2013-2014 and 2017-2018 Premier League seasons were 1-0 wins and 1-1 ties.
Manchester United, Chelsea and Manchester City have each won three Premier League titles during the past decade, with Leicester City being the only outsider to claim the most prestigious club football title on the planet in 2016 after a fairlytale season.
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We’ve prepared more interesting Premier League stats that will help you develop efficient betting strategies for the 2018/19 season. See below for further details!
Quickly navigate to your desired topic:
- Premier League Betting Stats & Strategies
- Premiership Winner Odds 2019
- Premier League Betting Predictions 2018/19
- Premier League Top Scorer Betting Predictions 18/19
- Premier League Top 4 Finish Predictions 18/19
- Premiership Relegation Odds 18/19
- Premier League Betting Offers 18/19
Premier League Betting Stats & Strategies
Having a proper betting strategy will surely help you in Premier League betting. First, make sure you stick to your preferred staking strategy and let that be the foundation of your betting success. Now, you don’t necessarily need to use math equations in order to determine the best tips as long as you follow the form and the team news, although you can use some stats from the previous season in order to be in a good starting position and better shape your expectations.
Here are a few interesting facts you should know about the 2017/18 Premier League season in order to be able to spot more value during the 2018/19 campaign:
- Man City scored most of their goals in the last 15 minute interval, meaning that 25 of City’s 106 goals came after the 76-minute mark. Even though their least productive interval was the 0-15 mins, The Citizens’ 12 goals were the most scored by any club in the 2017/18 Premier League during that respective interval.
- Watford’s matches rarely ended without any action during the past Premier League season: The Hornets scored 14 times and conceded 19 goals after the 75th minute.
Watch Man City and Watford’s’ games and do not hesitate to wager on the fact that one more goal will be scored after the first 75 minutes of play. Try our UK recommended online bookmaker and start betting online in a couple of minutes!
- Liverpool have conceded the least goals and registered the best goal difference during the 2nd interval of each half. The stats indicate 16 goals for and 3 against between 16-30 and 16 for with just one against during 61-75.
Follow Liverpool’s games and wager on Klopp’s side to take the lead during the middle of the 1st half and if the bet doesn’t win you could try to wager on The Reds to score a goal between the 61st and the 75th minute. Claim UK’s No. 1 free bet and start betting right now!
- Last season’s third-place finishers Tottenham were only the 13th squad in the Premier League to have played matches where the Over 2.5 goals bet would have been won. Just 17 of the 38 games played by Spurs saw three or more goals.
There’s a lot of value to be found in the Under 2.5 bet, particularly when Spurs are playing at home in the Premier League. Betting with high limits? Open your account and start wagering like a pro!
- 25 of Bournemouth’s 38 Premier League games last season ended up with Over 2.5 goals being scored. The Cherries were the 3th side in the competition in this regard – joint with Liverpool, – after Man City (27) and Arsenal (26).
Even though their average goal per game ratio was only 1.18, it is wise to actively consider the Over 2.5 bet on Bournemouth’s Premier League matches under Eddie Howe. Looking for the best odds on Premier League football? Sign up with this bookie and see for yourself!
- The Southampton players didn’t show enough concentration between the 31st minute and half time, having conceded no less than 15 goals in that interval, where they only managed to score 4 times. The Saints were also uninspired during the last 15 minutes of the games, scoring only 5 times whilst conceding 10 goals.
Wager on Southampton to allow a goal before half time if their defence looks as shaky as per usual. The experts have chosen the best sportsbook bonus available for UK bettors. Here it is – you can’t skip this one!1-0 and 1-1 were the most common scores recorded during the past 5 Premier League seasons: Click To Tweet
Premiership Winner Odds 2019
The Premiership title odds displayed below are available before the season starts. Afterwards, Premier League winner odds will be continuously adjusted by the online bookmakers according to the results, transfers, staff changes and other team news. These are the 2018-2019 odds on the Premier League title:
- Man City @ 1.73 – Wager at the best odds with Betway
- Liverpool @ 2.75 – Back the highest odds at Bet365
- Man Utd @ 55 – Place your bet at Matchbook Exchange
- Chelsea @ 15 – Register and start playing at Betfred
- Tottenham @ 41 – Grab the best odds at 888sport
- Arsenal @ 81 – Bet now with BetVictor
Odds correct as of 10:01 28/09/2018
Premier League Betting Predictions 2018/19
If you love football betting, this Premier League betting preview should be on the top of your list. This is what you need to know about the top six contenders for the 2018-2019 Premier League title:
Everything about Arsenal this season will be revolving around Arsene Wenger’s departure. The legendary manager resigned at the end of the 2017-2018 Premier League season after 21 years of service. Many punters and fans are wondering if Unai Emery will have David Moyes’ faith – when the Scotsman was chosen as Sir Alex Ferguson’s successor at Man Utd back in 2013. But considering the fact that Wenger’s latter years were unimpressive to say the least, the former PSG boss shouldn’t find it too hard to please the fans.
1⃣ First game – Man City (home).
2⃣ Second game – Chelsea (away).
— Sky Bet (@SkyBet) June 14, 2018
A top 4 finish is the best Arsenal fans can expect, even though rival clubs have strengthened their squads during the summer… We believe the Gunners have a better chance of getting Champions League football in the 2019-2010 season through their participation in Europa League – Unai Emery has won the Europa League three successive seasons with La Liga outfits Sevilla. Nevertheless, it will be a transitional season for Arsenal, so we shouldn’t expect fireworks anytime soon.
Although they were always on the podium during the last three seasons, Tottenham are only rated the 4th favourites to win the Premier League title in 2019. Mauricio Pochettino has already shown his developmental expertise if we think how players like Harry Kane, Eric Dier or Heung-min Son have blossomed under his command. There haven’t been any changes in the squad during this transfer window, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. The new White Hart Lane (62.000 capacity) should be ready for their 2nd Premier League home game; the move will enable the club to benefit from both extra revenue and better support from the many North London fans.
Spurs might struggle to make a serious title challenge due to their Champions League presence, but that doesn’t mean they will be thrown out of the top four as the bookies believe. The club is close to get rid of the financial anxiety they had to deal with while the new stadium was being built, and Mauricio Pochettino’s signing of a five-year contract shows that things are definitely heading in the right direction.
Hiring and firing managers every couple of seasons has been the trend at Chelsea during the past decade or so. 2017 Premier League winner Antonio Conte has been replaced with former Napoli boss Maurizio Sarri who brought with him the Brazilian-born Italian central midfielder Jorginho. Also, Chelsea legend Gianfranco Zola will return to the club as one of Sarri’s assistants. However, the absence of Champions League football this season means that high calibre targets might want to look elsewhere first. Also, The Blues might lose key players such as Hazard, Willian or Kante this summer.
As things stand, we can’t see The Blues challenging the for the title this season, but just like Arsenal, the Stamford Bridge club may rely on Europa League in the attempt to get back to Champions League football next season. Sarri and his players won’t benefit from the best atmosphere as there are claims that Chelsea is about to be sold, and these waters won’t settle until Abramovich’s legal situation clarifies.
Mourinho’s reign at Man United might not last much longer unless the experienced Portuguese manager will win some silverware this season. Jose Mourinho’s third season curse could strike again. If we were to ask the fans and pundits whether Manchester United is or not capable of winning their 14th Premier League title at the end of the 2018-2019 season, most would give a negative answer. Their rivals do not only play more exciting football, but have much better squad depth.
The hardcore United fans knew that The Special One’s pragmatic style would have a huge impact on the club’s traditional creative philosophy, but some agreed with the move because they didn’t have a better choice at keeping the pace with local rivals Man City. On the other hand, the sheer quality of Man United’s best XI enables us to think that the Old Trafford club could pose a challenge for the title if they manage to stay injury-free and unless Mourinho ‘self-implodes’ at some point during this Premier League campaign…
Liverpool were the ‘unluckiest’ team in the #PremierLeague last season while Manchester United were the ‘luckiest’, new research claims.
— BBC Sport (@BBCSport) August 7, 2018
Liverpool have been the biggest spenders this summer, having brought 4 classy players (for a total of £164 million) that could prove to be a huge boost for their title ambitions. The Reds are ranked as the second closest title challengers, and that is due to their stellar performance in the 2017-18 Champions League season where they trashed Premier League champions Man City 5-1 on aggregate in the quarter-final. Klopp’s men went past AS Roma in the semi-finals only to lose against Real Madrid in the 2018 UEFA Champions League Final, and many believe that Mo Salah’s injury in the first half was the main cause for their lack of success.
Emre Can has left Anfield on a free transfer this summer, but the Liverpool fans shouldn’t be too concerned. The club has found a not one but two suitable replacement in AS Monaco’s Fabinho and RB Leipzig’s Naby Keita. Also, by bringing Brazil World Cup goalkeeper Alisson and Switzerland’s pacey winger Xherdan Shaquiri it is safe to say that their transfer campaign has been highly successful, thus Liverpool’s Premier League run of 28 unrewarded years could come to and end in 2019.
There is one obvious reason why Man City can be backed at no more than 1.73 in the Premier League outright betting market: Pep Guardiola’s record-breaking squad looked amazing last season, breaking and his team are only getting better. After acquiring Riyad Mahrez this summer, they now look like a squad that is difficult to improve on.
The Citizens have the strongest squad depth in the Premier League at the present time, so there is little surprise why their title odds are so short. But Pep’s boys’ attention may be directed elsewhere: Manchester City are the main favourites to lift the Champions League trophy in Madrid on June 1st. That says it all…
More than ? points? ?
Pep Guardiola believes his @ManCity side can improve on last season
— Premier League (@premierleague) August 8, 2018
Premier League Top Scorer Betting Predictions 18/19
Last season Liverpool’s Mo Salah won the Premier Golden Boot award after scoring 32 league goals. Surprisingly, it was not a Man City player. Who’s going to win it at the end of this season? First let’s take a look at the All Time Premier League Top Scorers (In One Season):
- ⚽ Andy Cole – Newcastle United – 1993/94 – 40 games – 34 goals
- ⚽ Alan Shearer – Blackburn Rovers – 1994/95 – 42 games – 34 goals
- ⚽ Mohamed Salah – Liverpool – 2017/18 – 36 games – 32 goals
- ⚽ Luis Suarez – Liverpool – 2013/14 – 33 games – 31 goals
- ⚽ Cristiano Ronaldo – Manchester United – 2007/08 – 34 games – 31 goals
Now it’s time to find out what happened last season. These were the Premier League top scorers from the 2017/18 campaign:
- ⚽ Mohamed Salah – 32 goals
- ⚽ Harry Kane – 30 goals
- ⚽ Sergio Aguero – 21 goals
- ⚽ Jamie Vardy – 20 goals
- ⚽ Raheem Sterling – 18 goals
- ⚽ Romelu Lukaku – 16 goals
- ⚽ Roberto Firmino – 15 goals
- ⚽ Alexandre Lacazette – 14 goals
- ⚽ Gabriel Jesus – 13 goals
- ⚽ Eden Hazard – 12 goals
These are the Premier League top goalscorer betting odds for the 2018/2019 edition:
- ⚽ Harry Kane @ 4.50 – betvictor.com
- ⚽ Mohamed Salah @ 5.50 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @ 13 – betway.com
- ⚽ Romelu Lukaku @ 13.00 – 888sport.com
- ⚽ Sergio Aguero @ 4.50 – betvictor.com
- ⚽ Gabriel Jesus @ 41 – 888sport.com
- ⚽ Alexandre Lacazette @ 34 – williamhill.com
- ⚽ Roberto Firmino @ 41 – 888sport.com
- ⚽ Alexis Sanchez @ 101 – 888sport.com
- ⚽ Jamie Vardy @ 51 – bolyesports.com
Odds correct as of 10:01 28/09/2018
2016 and 2017 Premier League Golden Boot Winner Harry Kane is a natural in front of goal; however, at these odds we can’t find any value in the bet.
Mo Salah’s phenomenal debut season on Merseyside won’t be repeated as the opposition are now fully aware of his strengths and weaknesses.
We just can’t see how Romelu Lukaku will revert back to his Everton numbers under Jose Mourinho…
Sergio Aguero definitely has the quality to win the award, but we all know he is not exactly the injury-free type of player.
There’s no reason why Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang shouldn’t build on the impressive form shown last season after moving to North London (10 goals in 13 games) if Unai Emery can get the Gunners firing again.
Premier League Top 4 Finish Predictions 18/19
Betting on Premier League positions is highly popular not only due to Leicester City’s 5000/1 win back in 2016, but also because some pro punters have been reported to rely exclusively on outright bet types such as these. Some people like to bet on the Premier League top 6, other bet on Premier League top 3, but most people go with the more balanced version: Who are the Big Four? That’s the question of the moment in English football, where there are 6 highly competitive candidates for the top 4 positions. The highest ranked four clubs at the end of the 2019 Premier League campaign will qualify directly for Champions League football next season.
These are the Premier League top 4 finish odds for 2018/19:
- Man City @ 1.01 – betbright.com
- Liverpool @ 1.04 – boylesports.com
- Man Utd @ 2.38 – betfred.com
- Chelsea @ 1.30 – williamhill.com
- Tottenham @ 1.83 – bet365.com
- Arsenal @ 2.50 – betvictor.com
Odds correct as of 10:01 28/09/2018
Wagering on Spurs seems to provide the best value in this betting market. Pochettino’s side haven’t missed the podium during the last three Premier League seasons and their side looks as strong as ever. Arsenal fans will most likely grab these odds for their favourites, although at the present time it seems unlikely that the North London club will be able to get back to being one of the top four Premier League sides, unless Unai Emery manages to somehow pull a rabbit out of his hat.
English Premiership Relegation Odds 18/19
Who will be relegated at the end of the 2018/2019 Premier League season? Surprisingly, bookies don’t believe that the newly-promoted side Wolverhampton is going to be involved in the Premier League relegation battle. The 2017/18 Championship winners Wolverhampton are not in the top 10 favourites to go down at the end of this campaign.
These are the Premier League relegation odds for the 2018/19 season:
- Cardiff @ 1.33 – betvictor.com
- Huddersfield @ 1.33 – williamhill.com
- Watford @ 26 – betvictor.com
- Fulham @ 4.50 – betfred.com
- Brighton @ 5.00 – williamhill.com
- Burnley @ 2.75 – bet365.com
- Bournemouth @ 17 – betvictor.com
- Crystal Palace @ 11 – betbright.com
- Newcastle @ 4.33 – bet365.com
- Southampton @ 5.50 – betvictor.com
- West Ham @ 7.00 – betvictor.com
- Wolverhampton @ 34 – betway.com
Odds correct as of 10:01 28/09/2018
Only 5 of the last 15 teams promoted in the English top tier have relegated immediately and that’s why betting on Premier League relegation can be tricky to say the least. In fact, none of the three teams that were promoted last season went down at the end of the 2017/2018 campaign. Wolves and Fulham have spent quite a bit, whereas Cardiff’s short odds have no value.
Huddersfield’s predicted struggles are most likely based on their inefficiency in front of goal: David Wagner’s side have scored only 28 league goals during the past season (the worst record in the competition). There are many obvious reasons why they could be backed in this market, although the short odds might not be appealing to many.
However, there is a bet in this market that offers quite a bit of value for the money…
Southampton were very lucky to avoid relegation last season and this summer they’ve lost a key player in Dusan Tadic, so Mark Hugh’s job will be even tougher, as no comparable replacement has been added to The Saints’ squad this summer. Their team is now lacking a match winner and it would be hard for anyone to point out their strengths. It will be a difficult season for Southampton and the fans know it, and so do we!
Premier League Betting Offers 18/19
There are tons of betting offers for all customers, existing and new, with regards to Premier League betting. But betting on the English top tier isn’t beneficial to the punter only because of free bets and betting bonuses. Premier League games come with the most betting markets, with some betting sites offering as many as +250 betting lines. On top of that, there are many online bookmakers that run the lowest margins for the EPL markets, resulting in high payouts for the punters, up to an incredible 98% on the main 1X2 moneyline bets.
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