Premier League Betting Guide – From Beginner To Pro
Premier League betting guide 2021-22: facts, stats, strategies, betting offers, tips, best prices, advice & more
The Premier League is the most famous football league on the planet, and the richest… Hence why there are so many betting opportunities up for grabs at a very good price! Our English top-flight betting guide will cover the essential bits you need to know in order to increase your chances of being successful.
We’ll let you in on a few interesting Premier League betting facts. Then we’re going to teach you what and where to look for when analysing football matches. Next, we’re inviting you to grasp the fundamental concept of value betting, and in the end we’re going to present the best betting offers that are available for UK punters in 2021 and the top prices for some Premier League outright markets.
Quickly navigate to your desired topic:
- Premier League Betting Facts
- Premier League Betting Stats
- How To Bet On The Premier League And Win
- Premier League Betting Offers 2021/22
- Premier League Betting Prices
Premier League 2020-21 Betting Facts
Here are some thought-provoking facts about the previous Premier League season:
1The 2020-21 Premier League campaign was the first season in any division in the top four tiers of English football league history to see more away wins (153) than home wins (144).
2Thanks to a brace against Everton on the final day, Sergio Agüero overtook Wayne Rooney’s record for most goals for a single team in Premier League history, netting his 183rd and 184th goals for Manchester City.
3 Despite finishing third and second respectively, Liverpool (139 days) and Man United (155) both spent more time in the top four than eventual champions Man City (130).
4 Against West Brom, Dominic Calvert-Lewin became the youngest Englishman to score a top-flight hat trick for Everton (23y 187d) since Tony Cottee (23y 47d) vs. Newcastle in August 1988.
5 Bruno Fernandes’ winner for Man Utd at Brighton was the latest winning goal on record in a Premier League match (99:45, since 2006-07 when exact times are available).
6 Sheffield United lost a record 29 games last season, a joint record in the competition. Only three top-flight sides have ever lost 30 in a season: Leeds in 1946-47 (30), Blackburn in 1965-66 (30) and Stoke in 1984-85 (31), all in 42-game seasons. Nightmare.
7 Gareth Bale averaged a goal every 84 minutes in the 2020-21 Premier League season. For players with 10+ goals, only Ole Gunnar Solskjaer in 1998-99 has a better mins/goal ratio in a single season in the competition (one every 71 mins).
8 Arsenal missed out on qualifying for European competition for the first time in 25 years after finishing the Premier League season in eighth place following a 2-0 win over Brighton.
9 Harry Kane finished the season as both the top goalscorer and top assister in the Premier League (23 goals, 14 assists) – only the second time a player has finished with both the outright most goals and assists in the competition after Andy Cole in 1993-94.
10 Man United have become just the fourth side to remain unbeaten away from home across an entire English top-flight campaign (P19 W12 D7 L0), after Preston (1888-89), Arsenal (2001-02) and Arsenal again (2003-04).
11 In slumping to a 5-0 drubbing against Manchester City on the final day, Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti suffered his largest margin of defeat in his entire 1,167-game managerial career.
12 Leicester City’s Kelechi Iheanacho became the first player in Premier League history to score a goal on all seven weekdays within a single season.
13 Fulham became the first team in English top-flight history to fail to score at least 10 home goals in a single campaign, with the Cottagers nettings just nine league goals at Craven Cottage.
14 Alisson scored a 90th-minute winner for Liverpool at West Brom, becoming the first-ever goalkeeper to score a competitive goal for the Reds in their 129-year history.
15 Nathan Ake became a Premier League champion the very season after being relegated to the Championship as part of the Bournemouth side that finished 18th in 2019-20.
Premier League Betting Stats
Everybody knows they can find the English Premier League table by just googling it. Then again, there are plenty of websites that provide free football stats. This is both good and bad. Football betting stats are mandatory for every decent betting model, yet sports bettors tend to make long lists instead of a proper shortlist. So we’ve devised one for you hoping that you could start to build your England Premier League prediction model based on it:
This is one of the most helpful if not the best football betting stats website on the planet. Basically, if you’d only be allowed to visit one website when analysing football matches, this should be your pick, because we rate it as the number one (free) go-to resource.
WhoScored.com’s Premier League section provides an incredible amount of useful data, such as in-depth team stats, player stats and referee stats. At first glance, you can find fantastic info about form, streaks, progress, and you can even set custom date ranges to generate custom views. If you want even more specific data, you can browse several averages, like aerial duels won, goal contribution, shots per game, average ratings (based on some incredibly clever algorithms) and so on. On top of that, you get to see the Premier League Best XI and a few betting-oriented match facts.
Things to look for on WhoScored.com:
- Team Statistics – team characteristics (strengths and weaknesses), style of play, situational statistics (goal types, pass types, card situations), positional statistics (preferred attack sides, shot directions, shot zones, action zones)
- Players Statistics – height, weight, apps, minutes played, assists, bookings, defensive, offensive and passing metrics and averages
- Referee Statistics – apps, fouls, fouls/tackle, penalties, yellow cards, red cards etc.
- Advanced League Table – standings, form, streaks, full season progress, possession, aggression, aerial duels won, shots per game, passing accuracy, average ratings
- Premier League Best XI – weekly, monthly and seasonal views (useful for fantasy Premier League betting fans)
- Probable Lineups – formations, lineups (probable and announced), stats comparison, missing players, team news, match facts
- Match Reports – summary, strengths, weaknesses, situational reports, positional reports & conclusions on settled matches.
Despite showing all those valuable stats, metrics and info on the Premier League and other top football competitions such as the Champions League or the Europa League, WhoScored.com’s “Betting” section isn’t as great as you’d expect. There are a few goal-scoring stats, halftime/fulltime data, man of the match users predictions, correct score probabilities, three-way votes and more, but these aren’t the things you should pay the most attention to.
Transfermarkt has grown from being a football transfers database to a comprehensive football data portal. You can find out many useful things about players, staff members and referees at a glance. The amount of data that’s available and the way it is presented makes this website a necessity for most punters.
You might not be immediately impressed when accessing the English Premier League section on TransferMarkt.co.uk, but as soon as you realise that almost everything’s clickable and you start browsing around you’ll undoubtedly be surprised.
Things to look for on TransferMarkt.co.uk:
- Market Values, Contracts, Future Transfers, Rumours
- Squad Composition According To Positions – useful to compare the options that are available to managers before a match, especially when the squad faces injuries or suspensions
- Team Stats & Player Performance Data – intuitive overviews for team stats and various views of individual player performance which can be filtered by competition, club, manager & more
- Matchday & Table – a great feature that allows you to see the Premier League table history – e. like seeing how the table looked like after the first 15 games.
Some sports bettors use OddsPortal.com to monitor dropping odds and to find sure bets, others to compare odds (both live and pre-match) and others to discover value bets. There are even panels that show you the latest moving margins in handicap bets and totals bets, blocked odds, hot matches and community predictions, amongst others.
All in all, there are plenty of reasons for punters to visit this excellent resource regularly, but we’re going to focus on the Premier League area on OddsPortal.com for the purpose of this guide.
Things to look for on OddsPortal.com:
- Pre-Match & In-Play Odds Comparison – if you register you’ll be able to customise views and set the preferred online bookmakers
- Premier League Results & Historical Odds – check out the betting odds that were on offer for every fixture since the 2003/2004 Premier League season
- Form Table – quickly check out how the teams performed during the past 5, 10, 15, 20 etc. matches
- Odds Movement – see the opening odds and real-time odds fluctuations on several bet types: 1X2, Under/Over, Draw No Bet, Asian Handicaps, 1st Half & 2nd Half, Both Teams To Score, Half Time / Full Time, Outright markets etc.
Premier League Betting Strategy
Although most astute bettors indeed avoid the top-flight leagues in world football, we must admit that some online bookies offer incredible payouts of up to 98% for the main betting markets on the Premier League. That happens because the EPL is the most bet on sports league in Europe.
Its popularity generates an efficient betting market, meaning that the odds adjusted by the wagers often reflect actual probabilities, so finding value can be tricky. Still, there are several things you can do to improve your chances of landing a profit at the end of the season:
Develop a betting model that reveals the value
Most weekend bettors believe that there’s only one scenario and one result that they have to guess when analysing a fixture in order to win. That’s not the way you should think if you want to increase your chances of succeeding because there are literally thousands of possibilities.
The thing you should do is to establish the likelihood of certain results to take place and get better at it. Of course, finding value is challenging, and no betting guide can tell you exactly how to identify over-priced odds – although there are a few general guidelines on every sports betting site.
An excellent way to start is to price up your predictions before checking out the odds on offer and to develop a habit only to wager at odds that provide, say 5% value (check out our betting guide about calculating value).
There’s only one way you can beat the collective wisdom of the crowd, and that’s being one step ahead of the hundreds of thousands of bettors out there. Something you can do differently to everybody else is to pay a lot of attention to the team news that could potentially be undervalued or on the contrary, given too much significance. You can do that by browsing popular Premier League betting tips, social media, the media etc.
Your football prediction model should include something more than just numbers. In other words, if you can identify the hype, use it to your advantage. Anything that’s not measurable will give you an edge. This doesn’t mean you should neglect the betting stats analysis; just remember not to stop there.
Apply a safe & stable staking method
First things first: Only bet what you can afford to lose, don’t increase your stakes unless your strategy demands it and never chase losses.
Second, let go of the need to make things interesting, forget about the adrenaline rush and bet no more than 2% of your initial bank on each selection.
“Whaaaaaat?” I hear you inquiring.
It doesn’t matter if your bankroll is only £50. Applying a sound money management strategy is the least you can do to give yourself a chance to make a buck at the end of the season. Employing this staking method is incredibly easy, yet many weekend punters ignore it, whereas most pros use it.
The reason why this simple staking plan is so good is that it:
- cancels bad luck in the long run
- protects your betting bankroll
- will help you make the most of the value you have identified.
No matter how good of a tipster you are, things will go pear shapes from time to time. Basically, you are eliminating an aspect most punters have to worry about by employing a fixed stake. And the great news is that this will enable you to better focus on other aspects of your betting analysis.
Follow Premier League clubs, players and communities
Knowing the Premier League winners of the last two decades won’t help you better understand football betting markets. However, it is vital that you study everything there is to know about the EPL. Why? Because correctly evaluating the pros and cons you have at your disposal is what separates the average bettors from the seasoned punters.
You don’t have the cutting edge analysis tools bookies use to establish odds, but you do have access to their final product: the betting odds. What you can do is to try and incorporate personal information that comes from other people.
Start by reading the online newspapers, check out what the media punters say, find out what other sports bettors think, follow the clubs, players, fan clubs and other communities on social media and try to interpret data coming from various relevant viewpoints.
You want to listen and weigh both the pros and the cons. Don’t look only for the opinions that are lying in the same boat; otherwise you’d cheat yourself into believing a random guess. Take notes of over-hyped arguments, but don’t fall for the public opinion. Always do your due diligence.
And remember that despite the comprehensive media coverage, the social media and the global interest for the competition, it is not easy to make money betting on the Premier League. A half an hour of analysis won’t be enough. You have to work a few days in advance to be able to generate accurate predictions, and even if you do, there’s no guarantee that you will succeed.
Find the best price for your selections
The vigorish, juice or cute of the take makes it impossible for a punter to profit in the long run unless he has accounts with multiple bookies. The payout that is generally available won’t be good enough to enable long term success unless the punter happens to be involved in match-fixing.
Unless you’ve got an efficient Premier League betting model that enables you to determine the real probability accurately, you can always base your decisions on the liquidity available on Betfair (or any other betting exchange). The Premier League is the most bet football league in Europe, so the odds on Matchbook are the result of plenty sophisticated pricing models that are shaping the market in their attempt to grab valuable prices.
As a general rule of thumb, back at the higher odds with the bookies than it is available at the betting exchanges and you should be on the right side. Now, that’s an ideal scenario, but typically what you should look for is to take the top price on your chosen selection. You can use resources such as OddsPortal.com to do that efficiently.
Premier League Betting Offers 2021/2022
There are tons of betting offers for all customers, existing and new, with regards to Premier League betting. But betting on the English top tier isn’t beneficial to the punter only because of free bets and betting offers for new accounts.
Premier League games come with the most betting markets, with some betting sites offering as many as +250 betting lines. On top of that, many online bookmakers run slim margins for the EPL markets, resulting in high payouts for the punters, up to an incredible 98% on the main 1X2 moneyline bets.
Try the fascinating Bet Builder and enjoy high payouts
|See Bet365 |
Excellent odds on Premier League football
|See Betfred |
Full and Partial Cash Out available for almost every bet
|See 888sport |
Enjoy a wide variety of football specials and prop bets
|See WH |
Uniquely combines exchange betting with fixed-odds wagering
|See SpreadEX |
Still unsure? Check out this guide about choosing the best online bookmaker and feel free to visit this page if you want to find out more about our recommended selection of UK online bookmakers.
Premier League Betting Prices
We’ve added some betting odds for the outright betting fans: Title Odds, PFA Player of the Year Odds, Premier League Top Scorer Odds & Relegation Odds for the 2021-2022 season. However, the betting odds will be continuously adjusted by the online bookmakers according to the results, transfers, staff changes and other team news. Note that our tipsters add Premier League Betting Predictions from time to time in our Free Betting Tips section.
Premiership Winner Odds 2021-2022
- Man City @ 2.20 – bet365.com
- Chelsea @ 3.75 – bet365.com
- Liverpool @ 6.00 – betfred.com
- Man Utd @ 6.00 – bet365.com
- Tottenham @ 29 – bet365.com
Odds correct as of 09:05 31/08/2021
Premier League Player Of The Year Odds 2021-2022
- Cristiano Ronaldo @ 7.50 – williamhill.com
- Kevin De Bruyne @ 8.00 – bet365.com
- Bruno Fernandes @ 8.50 – betfred.com
- Romelu Lukaku @ 10 – bet365.com
- Jack Grealish @ 11 – bet365.com
- Harry Kane @ 13 – bet365.com
- Mohamed Salah @ 15 – bet365.com
- Paul Pogba @ 19 – bet365.com
- Virgil van Dijk @ 26 – bet365.com
- Jadon Sancho @ 29 – bet365.com
Odds correct as of 09:05 31/08/2021
Premier League Top Scorer Odds 2021-2022
- ⚽ Romelu Lukaku @ 4.00 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Mohamed Salah @ 6.00 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Cristiano Ronaldo @ 6.00 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Harry Kane @ 7.00 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Bruno Fernandes @ 15 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 17 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Heung-Min Son @ 17 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Jamie Vardy @ 26 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Diogo Jota @ 26 – bet365.com
- ⚽ Mason Greenwood @ 29 – bet365.com
Odds correct as of 09:05 31/08/2021
English Premiership Relegation Odds 2021-2022
- Norwich @ 1.66 – bet365.com
- Crystal Palace @ 2.20 – bet365.com
- Watford @ 2.25 – bet365.com
- Burnley @ 2.37 – bet365.com
- Newcastle @ 2.37 – bet365.com
- Brentford @ 4.00 – bet365.com
- Southapmton @ 4.33 – bet365.com
- Aston Villa @ 5.00 – bet365.com
Odds correct as of 09:05 31/08/2021