15 Tips For Improving Your Football Betting Strategy
Nobody knows what is the best way to bet on football, nor how to succeed, but you can improve your experience by learning a few tips & tricks
Are you wondering how to make the most of your bets? Don’t waste any more hours scouring the internet in an attempt to discover new ways of improving your football betting skills.
We’ve prepared several tips & tricks designed to help you change your betting fortunes, regardless if you’re looking to back singles or to make the most of your footy accas.
Plus, we’ve done a couple of simulations, and we even added a footy acca betting system (14) that will most likely change the way you perceive football accumulators.
Accumulator bets, or accas, are wagers that generally come with an increased level of risk and a lower value on the final odds. They simply aren’t profitable in the long run, hence why most professional sports bettors religiously avoid them.
So, why do most punters absolutely love accumulator betting?
Footy accas are attractive, and they can potentially fill your pockets in an instant. But we all know how often that happens…
Don’t worry because we won’t tell you to place only single bets as most other betting guides do.
Instead, we’ll share a few rules that should guide you towards unveiling the safest football bets.
1 Keep records and monitor your betting stats. Keeping a clear and detailed record of what bets you’ve placed is essential to discover what you’re good at and what drags you down. It can be beneficial to track the competition, stake, odds, type of bet, bookie, result, profit/loss, source (if you’ve followed someone’s tip), and whatever else you might find useful.
Monitoring this kind of data is the only way to improve your football betting strategy and habits continually. You might find that you’re good at wagering on the Champions League or that your Under 2.5 predictions are the most successful of all bet types. In the same way, you can discover that your Europa League betting slips have a very low hit-rate and that one of the tipsters you are following is taking you to bankruptcy.
2 Choose the most convenient bookie for each wager. I’ll give you a couple of excellent reasons not to be loyal to your favourite bookmaker. Missing out on the best odds on the market is not a clever idea. In fact, pro punters use tens of betting accounts to wager wherever the best odds for each prediction can be found. Now, I’m not telling you to register with every bookmaker on the internet, but at least open accounts with three or four of our recommended online bookmakers.
Secondly, you must take advantage of bookmakers promotions & features: price boost, acca insurance, various refunds schemes, cash-out, free bets, deposit bonuses, enhanced odds and whatnot.
3 Make good use of your know-how and flush your emotions. Stay in control and use your analytical brain when you are looking for good football bets. Some well-documented punters can provide surprisingly good predictions for upcoming games without doing any pre-match analysis just because they know the competition inside-out. Nonetheless, this doesn’t mean that they should only rely on their instinct, which in such cases is based on the result of many cognitive processes happening in the background of their cerebellum.
Any punter who wants to become successful should first restrain all his emotions when it comes to betting. I can assure you that the best football tips for today are all given by sharp bettors who follow this rule, and you should follow their example if you are serious about your football betting.
4 Make sure you don’t lose it all. The most fundamental rule in sports betting is only to bet what you can afford to lose. Please select a suitable staking method and make sure your bank is large enough to accommodate it, otherwise pick another money management strategy. It would be best if you wagered as much as you feel comfortable with without going to extreme lengths: too little will won’t help you stay focused on your betting model, whereas too much will make you feel nervous and avoid too many excellent betting opportunities.
But no matter what happens, don’t ever chase your losses. You’ve probably made this mistake a few times but didn’t really realise that it’s a trap. Stay disciplined, and don’t let emotions get to you. If it happens, you need to take a break and then figure out how to stop this from happening because, most likely, you are doing something wrong.
5 Neither bet for your favourite team, nor against it. This is rookie advice, but don’t feel offended by it. Not every football bettor realises that this is the most intelligent move to do if you plan on developing a safe betting strategy. I just wanted to point this out because most betting guides on the internet only tell you not to back your favourite team or avoid betting with your heart. However, emotions can drive you to bet against your favourites, and we’ve already talked about how you should avoid mixing emotions with betting and how bad they are together.
6 Look out for helpful promotions. The perfect example for this betting tip is Acca Insurance, a way of getting your stake back if only one selection lets you down on your acca, or even winning if one prediction loses – although this will reduce your total odds. And there are other promotions that will help you win the bet or get your money back in various circumstances, like when the match ends 0-0 or when a goal is scored in extra time. Don’t forget that T&Cs apply.
7 Fight your instincts. Have you noticed that you’ve wagered more often on three or more goals to be scored than the opposite? Yes, the most popular football bets are placed on overs and on both teams to score. That’s because we naturally seek heavy favourites, the player scoring, and we tend to forget about the teams that have a watertight defence or the low scoring games, which can be a very profitable venture.
8 Less is more. There are two things to do to increase your football accumulators hit rate. Decrease the average odds and the number of selections. But don’t fall into the short odds trap:
- Man City to defeat Wolves – 1.13
- Bayern to defeat Hoffenheim – 1.10
- Zagreb to defeat Belupo – 1.13
- PSG to defeat Angers – 1.19
- CSKA Sofia to defeat Bistritsa – 1.12
- PSV to defeat Venalo – 1.11
- Salzburg to defeat Altach – 1.12
- Hajduk to defeat Varazdin – 1.14
- Zilina to defeat Sered – 1.20
- Donetsk to defeat Dnipro – 1.13
The total odds for this 10-fold would be 3.59.
Remember, you need all the selections to go your way to win, and there’s definitely too much risk for the modest potential return. Any serious football tipster would advise you against placing this bet because there’s too much risk involved. You get the point.
Instead, stick to bet slips as large as five-folds and try to keep the individual odds between 1.30 and 1.60. You’ll only need four selections with average odds of 1.45 to better the potential return to x4.42. And if you don’t believe that this kind of four-fold is better than the 10-folds we presented above, then we’re inviting you to test and see for yourself.
9 Focus on safe betting options. Even if you have acca insurance or similar benefits, it is always good to search for safe football bets.
For instance, instead of 1X2, go for a Double Chance pick, and instead of Over/Under 2.5, clutch at Over/Under 3.0 etc. Asian Handicap tips will come in handy. Don’t forget that the “Draw No Bet” option is the same type of bet as Asian Handicap 0. Our top 5 recommended football bets are also worth checking out!
Did you ever place a 5-fold bet containing only refundable predictions? Go ahead!
10Avoid adding derbies or inconsistent teams on your accas. You shouldn’t be looking for underdogs who might just pull an upset if you want to play safe, and you don’t want to employ the value betting concept. So your first concern should be to avoid fixtures where teams are evenly matched.
It is advisable to keep a close eye on consistent teams. The idea is to avoid surprises, and specialisation is the best way to do it. That means you should spot triggers, learn how to anticipate when a team’s form is about to change, and take notes.
11 Do not blindly wager on the supposed best tip of the day. It is alright to monitor the bets and analysis of other users from the world of online betting, but don’t let others decide your moves. Some pundits have a horrible betting record, so don’t fall the so-called expert advice. Furthermore, avoid all those fixed-matches tips as well, unless you want to get scammed.
Unless you work on a betting model, it will be impossible for you to improve over time, so don’t fall for this out of convenience.
12 Add up to 5 selections on your bet slip. A bookies’ payout for a specific market can be anywhere between 80% to 99%. Let’s pick a random figure, say 3.7%. Assuming you’ve added another selection with the same payout to your bet slip, the house edge would now double what it was.
With every extra selection, the bookmaker’s margin would increase; therefore, your total odds will be less fair. Besides, the true probabilities will only narrow down further if you add more and more selections.
13 Don’t be afraid to back high odds. Betting on high odds doesn’t mean you’ll have to gamble and hope for the best. But to be able to bet on high odds with a cool head, you need the stats to be on your side.
Now, you can feel free to chose whatever betting market you like: Under 1.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals, Full-Time Draw etc., but I’ll give you a hint: draw at half-time & home win at full-time. Let me show you this awesome betting system:
- Liverpool v Leicester: Draw/Home @ 4.25
- Barcelona v Sevilla: Draw/Home @ 4.30
- Bayern v Hoffenheim: Draw/Home @ 4.33
- AS Roma v Cagliari: Draw/Home @ 4.30
- PSG v Angers: Draw/Home @ 4.25
The total odds for this 10-fold is 1446.
Impressive, isn’t it?
And if you were to remove the last selection from the bet slip, you’d still get total odds of 340.
Nowadays, many top UK bookmakers are offering bet builders, so it feels easier to safer custom bets with reasonable odds. Just remember to check out the stats to know which competitions and teams are more likely to end up with your desired outcome.
14 Allow yourself enough time to intervene. Have you ever thought about the benefits of adding successive football matches on a bet slip? Basically, if the games you’ve bet on will be spread across a day or two and not played roughly at the same time, you’ll have more chances to claim a return because you’ll be able to cash-out winnings before all the events are settled. But first, be sure that your bet is eligible for cash-out in the first place.
Let’s imagine that the first three of the five matches from our previous example would end up the way we want: We’d theoretically have the chance to claim a return that’s about 79 times higher than our initial stake. Surely that amount would be pleasing for some punters…
15 Don’t stick to losing football betting systems. Being close to winning is the same as losing bets regularly. It’s all down to how you look at things. If your chosen strategy delivers poor return rates after having tested it with a large sample of bets, probably the best thing to do is try something else.
Again, think about all those punters who bet precisely the same way for years and expect their results to better. That’s pure madness! Don’t expect to win football bets every time – it is a game of chance, after all – but check out how close your results are towards fulfiling the expected hit rate, in accordance with your average odds.